Today's top play is on a tough Stanford team that has played well on the road going up against a California team that just came up with a huge victory that is inflating this line. California knocked off #1 Arizona and stormed the court and that was something Stanford came short of by just 1 point the game before. In fact both teams have had almost identical schedules of late and I really feel like Stanford has played just as well if not better so getting 3.5 points in a potential huge let down spot and a revenge spot gives me plenty of confidence backing the brains of Stanford on the road here.
Not only is this a big let down spot for California, but Stanford as I mentioned has revenge after they played arguably their worst game at home. They allowed California to shoot 45% from three and they themselves shot 50% from the FT line. I don't see that happening again and Stanford could use a big time win to help their tournament chances. They've won on the road in conference play again and I would not be shocked to see an outright victory here tonight as well.
Boise State -130 3* play
Boise State hosts #5 San Diego State at home and they are favorites? Actually Boise just got robbed on the road against UNLV and coming home with a big game to put that game in the rear view mirror is a big deal. I expect them to play well here in a big time game that they almost won on the road earlier this year losing by 3 at San Diego State.
When you look at San Diego State's stats they do not look like a top 10 team. They struggle offensively shooting just 40.3% from the field, 27.3% from 3 and 65.6% from the line and are well under the nation's average for assist to turnover ratio at under 1. Boise meanwhile enjoys +10 FTA and +10 rebound margin at home to go along with an offense that puts up over 80 points. Public jumped all over San Diego State, but I think this Boise is out to prove something tonight.
